Assessment of Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity in the Susurluk Basin of Türkiye: A Basin-Scale Perspective


Aytekin M., Serengil Y.

JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY, cilt.45, sa.2, ss.117-136, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 45 Sayı: 2
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/10549811.2025.2594024
  • Dergi Adı: JOURNAL OF SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, BIOSIS, Compendex, Environment Index, Geobase, Greenfile, Public Affairs Index
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.117-136
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Adaptation, adaptive capacity, climate change, vulnerability
  • İstanbul Üniversitesi-Cerrahpaşa Adresli: Evet

Özet

The ecological vulnerability and resilience of watersheds are closely linked to the presence and sustainability of forest ecosystems. In this study, we employed a spatial, indicator-based methodology to assess sub-basin vulnerability within the strategically important Susurluk Basin in T & uuml;rkiye. The approach involved scoring 28 selected indicators representing sensitivity, exposure, and adaptive capacity, which were then aggregated to generate a single vulnerability score for each sub-basin. To validate the methodology, we conducted a comprehensive statistical comparison with independently collected ecological water quality data. A strong correlation (R2 approximate to 0.79) between the vulnerability scores and water quality parameters confirmed the reliability of the assessment. The findings demonstrate that ecological degradation - effectively monitored through water quality metrics - can serve as a practical proxy for assessing sub-basin vulnerability. This assessment enables the identification of high-risk sub-basins, providing critical insights for prioritizing areas that require ecosystem restoration and long-term sustainability efforts. Moreover, integrating this approach into forest management planning has the potential to enhance the hydrological services that forest ecosystems provide.