Risk Factors and Predictors of 1-year Overall Mortality in Patients with COVID-19


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Surme S., Tuncer G., Bayramlar O. F., Takak H., Copur B., Yazla M., ...More

Haseki Tip Bulteni, vol.60, no.5, pp.439-446, 2022 (ESCI, Scopus, TRDizin) identifier identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 60 Issue: 5
  • Publication Date: 2022
  • Doi Number: 10.4274/haseki.galenos.2022.8501
  • Journal Name: Haseki Tip Bulteni
  • Journal Indexes: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, CINAHL, EMBASE, Directory of Open Access Journals, TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Page Numbers: pp.439-446
  • Keywords: 1-year mortality, COVID-19, predictors, risk factors
  • Open Archive Collection: AVESIS Open Access Collection
  • Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

© 2022 by The Medical Bulletin of Istanbul Haseki Training and Research Hospital The Medical Bulletin of Haseki published by Galenos Yayinevi.Aim: To date, limited data exists on 1-year mortality and associated factors in patients with coronavirus diseases-2019 (COVID-19). We determined risk factors and predictors of 1-year mortality. Methods: In this retrospective and single-center study, hospitalized patients with COVID-19 were enrolled between March 11 and March 11, 2020. The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality after discharge from the hospital. Secondary outcomes were the risk factors and predictors of 1-year mortality. A comparative analysis was applied to patients who died after recovering from acute COVID-19 and patients who survived. Results: A total of 567 patients were analyzed. The 1-year mortality occurred in 18 (3.2%) patients. Older age (p=0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (p=0.001), chronic artery disease (p=0.001), chronic renal failure (p=0.001), presence of pleural fluid (p=0.001), high levels of leukocyte (p=0.001), neutrophil (p=0.001), monocyte (p=0.026), C-reactive protein (p=0.042), procalcitonin (p=0.004), urea (p=0.001), creatinine (p=0.001), troponin (p=0.001), lactate dehydrogenase (p=0.019), potassium (p=0.003), and a low level of alanine aminotransferase (p=0.001) at the first admission were associated with increased long-term mortality. Additionally, the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission (p=0.007) and invasive ventilation (p=0.019) during the hospital stay for COVID-19 were associated with increased 1-year mortality. Conclusion: This study suggests that age, underlying diseases, pleural fluid, certain laboratory parameters, and ICU care are somewhat associated with 1-year mortality.