Ballistic Missile Threat Assessment and the Decision-Making Mechanism
12. Savunma Teknolojileri Kongresi - SAVTEK, Ankara, Türkiye, 9 - 11 Eylül 2026, cilt.1, sa.1, ss.1-9, (Tam Metin Bildiri)
- Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Tam Metin Bildiri
- Cilt numarası: 1
- Basıldığı Şehir: Ankara
- Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
- Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1-9
- İstanbul Üniversitesi-Cerrahpaşa Adresli: Evet
Özet
Ballistic missile threat assessment is
of paramount importance for missile defense operations and forms a crucial
basis for early warning, detection, interception, and other combat missions.
Given this issue, this article proposes a ballistic missile threat assessment
method based on an integrated decision-making algorithm. The algorithm
essentially incorporates two aspects: First, the expert decision-making method
has been replaced with a combination of subjective and objective weights that
consider both expert experience and objective information. Second, the ELECTRE
model has been enhanced to handle Fermatean fuzzy problems. The improved model
can perform threat assessments of incoming ballistic missiles even when data is
incomplete or ambiguous.